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The number of bets is less than a Super Yankee / Canadian and yet the return will be
much greater ♣ if you get all five winners
An Alternative To The Canadian Bet
Last week
an Each Way Yankee consisting of FlatStats top ♣ rated horses found four winners. This
week a bet consisting of five horses found five winners.
The horses (again selected
from ♣ the FlatStats value ratings) were placed in a Sweet Sixteen Multiple, which
consists of the following bets:
10 Trebles
5 Fourfolds
1 Accumulator
This ♣ bet is
preferable to a Super Yankee / Canadian (which also has 5 selections) if the selections
are mostly short ♣ priced favourites. In this situation it is not worth placing doubles
and thus the minimum bets will be the trebles. ♣ Of course you now need to have three
winners for there to be a return, but if the odds are ♣ that short it is very likely that
a return will be had.
This bet was placed on Betfair. They do not ♣ have a ready made
ticket for a Sweet Sixteen so the trebles, fourfolds and accumulator were selected with
a unit ♣ stake of £2.
Betfair Multiple Bet: £2 Sweet Sixteen
This shows the odds return
from the five horse accumulator (average level odds ♣ of 70.25) and the total return for
the whole bet (£741.22), which includes the fourfolds and the trebles.
After deducting
the ♣ stake the net profit for this bet on Betfair was £709.22. If the bet was placed in
the bookies the ♣ net profit would have been £649.00. This gives a Betfair advantage over
SP of around 9%.
Betfair Advantage
The advantage is not ♣ that great for this particular
bet because the Betfair SP of the individual horses was not that much greater than ♣ the
bookies SP.
Horse SP BSP Adv% Pawprints 1.57 1.61 1% Suivez L'Aargent 3.5 3.65 1%
Surely Speightful 1.44 1.52 11% ♣ Our Boy Jack 2.75 2.94 5% Dutch Rose 2.88 3.07 5%
One
of Betfair's advertising slogans is that "you get 20% ♣ better odds with Betfair". That
may be true but it is an average, which can vary depending on the odds. ♣ Shorter priced
runners such as the above will not have that much of an advantage. Horses priced in
double figures ♣ will have an advantage much higher.
Sweet Sixteen Bets: Playing the Long
Game
This is a good bet for favourites. The number ♣ of bets is less than a Super Yankee
/ Canadian and yet the return will be much greater if you ♣ get all five winners (1).
At
this time of year with many small field races, consistent going and with the form
♣ settled down there will be plenty of favourites to choose from. Some of the favourites
may be odds-on but don't ♣ be fooled into thinking odds-on = no value. A horse can be
value whatever the odds say.
Why not Subscribe Today ♣ and start using the FlatStats
ratings. You can use them to find value favourites. Just read the comments on the
♣ ratings page for favourites that are also top rated.
Related Articles and Resources
(1)
£2 Sweet Sixteen with five winners at SP ♣ returned £681. A comparable £1.23 Canadian
returned £489.40. Returns do not include any all correct bonus, which some bookies may
♣ offer.
Article created 25-May-12. Stats may have changed since.
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